Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for Toronto on September 14, driven by clear skies, northwest winds, and drier air advection following a frontal passage, which promotes strong nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 12°C outcome while sustaining elevated probabilities on flanking ranges due to typical 2–3°C uncertainty in 48-hour model runs and potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter cooling rates. Historical September lows average 14.2°C, placing the projected value slightly below normal but well above record minima near 1°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine resolution around the key thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 14. September?
6°C oder weniger 74%
16°C oder höher 74%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
6°C oder weniger
74%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C oder höher
74%
6°C oder weniger 74%
16°C oder höher 74%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
6°C oder weniger
74%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C oder höher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for Toronto on September 14, driven by clear skies, northwest winds, and drier air advection following a frontal passage, which promotes strong nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 12°C outcome while sustaining elevated probabilities on flanking ranges due to typical 2–3°C uncertainty in 48-hour model runs and potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter cooling rates. Historical September lows average 14.2°C, placing the projected value slightly below normal but well above record minima near 1°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine resolution around the key thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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