Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Busan on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation, aligning closely with the 30°C outcome holding 94.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects observed afternoon readings climbing steadily toward 28°C by midday and climatological norms for early September, when daily highs typically range 26–29°C absent strong synoptic influences. Trader consensus incorporates the latest model consensus favoring stable high pressure, with minimal risk of cooling sea breezes or increased cloud cover. A sustained shift to overcast conditions or stronger northeasterly flow could cap the high below 30°C, though current observations make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 12. September?
30°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
24°C oder weniger <1%
$22,642 Vol.
$22,642 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
24°C oder weniger <1%
$22,642 Vol.
$22,642 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Busan on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation, aligning closely with the 30°C outcome holding 94.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects observed afternoon readings climbing steadily toward 28°C by midday and climatological norms for early September, when daily highs typically range 26–29°C absent strong synoptic influences. Trader consensus incorporates the latest model consensus favoring stable high pressure, with minimal risk of cooling sea breezes or increased cloud cover. A sustained shift to overcast conditions or stronger northeasterly flow could cap the high below 30°C, though current observations make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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