**Forecast consensus from official sources and models positions 32°C as the most probable daily high for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's 65.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29% for 33°C.** Current observations show afternoon temperatures reaching 30–31°C under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, with northeasterly winds and humidity around 60–80% moderating peaks. Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese meteorological networks, project a high near 32°C amid scattered showers that limit solar heating compared to clearer recent days when 33°C was recorded. Typical September climatology in the region supports highs in this narrow band, with rain probability and cloud cover acting as the key variables that could cap or allow a brief spike to 33°C depending on timing of any clearing. Official station data and final verification will resolve the market, with any late-day intensification or model revisions representing the main uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 10. September?
32°C 81%
33°C 17%
34°C 2%
26°C oder niedriger <1%
$26,532 Vol.
$26,532 Vol.
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
81%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 81%
33°C 17%
34°C 2%
26°C oder niedriger <1%
$26,532 Vol.
$26,532 Vol.
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
81%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources and models positions 32°C as the most probable daily high for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's 65.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29% for 33°C.** Current observations show afternoon temperatures reaching 30–31°C under partly cloudy to thundery conditions, with northeasterly winds and humidity around 60–80% moderating peaks. Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese meteorological networks, project a high near 32°C amid scattered showers that limit solar heating compared to clearer recent days when 33°C was recorded. Typical September climatology in the region supports highs in this narrow band, with rain probability and cloud cover acting as the key variables that could cap or allow a brief spike to 33°C depending on timing of any clearing. Official station data and final verification will resolve the market, with any late-day intensification or model revisions representing the main uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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