Current weather models from sources like PAGASA and international forecasts indicate Manila's September 12 high will likely reach 30–31°C amid typical monsoon-season humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds. These conditions align with climatological baselines of 31°C daytime maxima, while cloud cover and precipitation chances could cap peaks below model consensus. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects the balance of observed morning temperatures near 28°C, expected afternoon warming, and minor model spread that rarely exceeds 32°C under stable steering patterns. Updated guidance through the day will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 12. September?
31°C 90%
32°C 20%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
79%
32°C
20%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 90%
32°C 20%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
79%
32°C
20%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from sources like PAGASA and international forecasts indicate Manila's September 12 high will likely reach 30–31°C amid typical monsoon-season humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds. These conditions align with climatological baselines of 31°C daytime maxima, while cloud cover and precipitation chances could cap peaks below model consensus. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects the balance of observed morning temperatures near 28°C, expected afternoon warming, and minor model spread that rarely exceeds 32°C under stable steering patterns. Updated guidance through the day will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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