**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 47%, followed by 31°C at 30.5%. Recent observations on September 10 showed afternoon peaks near 31–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover, with models indicating a slight warming or stabilization trend into the next day as moisture decreases. Historical September climatology for the region centers on highs around 31°C, providing context for why traders assign lower weight to extremes like 34°C or below 30°C. Key variables include steering patterns from subtropical high pressure and any last-minute adjustments in regional model runs, which could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will be the primary near-term catalyst for odds movement ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 11. September?
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 13%
30°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
47%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 13%
30°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$215 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$851 Vol.
3%
30°C
$331 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,307 Vol.
22%
32°C
$556 Vol.
47%
33°C
$305 Vol.
13%
34°C
$858 Vol.
4%
35°C
$335 Vol.
1%
36°C oder höher
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.**
This aligns closely with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 47%, followed by 31°C at 30.5%. Recent observations on September 10 showed afternoon peaks near 31–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover, with models indicating a slight warming or stabilization trend into the next day as moisture decreases. Historical September climatology for the region centers on highs around 31°C, providing context for why traders assign lower weight to extremes like 34°C or below 30°C.
Key variables include steering patterns from subtropical high pressure and any last-minute adjustments in regional model runs, which could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will be the primary near-term catalyst for odds movement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$6,558Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.**
This aligns closely with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 47%, followed by 31°C at 30.5%. Recent observations on September 10 showed afternoon peaks near 31–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover, with models indicating a slight warming or stabilization trend into the next day as moisture decreases. Historical September climatology for the region centers on highs around 31°C, providing context for why traders assign lower weight to extremes like 34°C or below 30°C.
Key variables include steering patterns from subtropical high pressure and any last-minute adjustments in regional model runs, which could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will be the primary near-term catalyst for odds movement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,558Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 47%, followed by 31°C at 30.5%. Recent observations on September 10 showed afternoon peaks near 31–32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover, with models indicating a slight warming or stabilization trend into the next day as moisture decreases. Historical September climatology for the region centers on highs around 31°C, providing context for why traders assign lower weight to extremes like 34°C or below 30°C. Key variables include steering patterns from subtropical high pressure and any last-minute adjustments in regional model runs, which could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will be the primary near-term catalyst for odds movement ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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