Forecast models from sources like PredictWind, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate Buenos Aires overnight lows likely ranging 5–9°C on September 12 under persistent southerly winds and overcast skies that limit radiative cooling. This spread, driven by minor differences in wind speed, cloud thickness, and exact cold-air advection timing, explains the near-even market-implied odds clustered around 4–6°C outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour minimum is recorded, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing a sharper drop toward the lower end of guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 12. September?
4°C oder darunter 89%
5°C 49%
6°C 48%
7°C 46%
4°C oder darunter
89%
5°C
49%
6°C
48%
7°C
46%
8°C
5%
9°C
44%
10°C
7%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C oder höher
<1%
4°C oder darunter 89%
5°C 49%
6°C 48%
7°C 46%
4°C oder darunter
89%
5°C
49%
6°C
48%
7°C
46%
8°C
5%
9°C
44%
10°C
7%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like PredictWind, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate Buenos Aires overnight lows likely ranging 5–9°C on September 12 under persistent southerly winds and overcast skies that limit radiative cooling. This spread, driven by minor differences in wind speed, cloud thickness, and exact cold-air advection timing, explains the near-even market-implied odds clustered around 4–6°C outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour minimum is recorded, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing a sharper drop toward the lower end of guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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