**Forecast models indicate a cold front approaching Warsaw from the west, advecting cooler maritime polar air and increasing cloud cover with light rain, which caps daytime heating and supports market-implied odds clustering around 19–20 °C.** Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h on September 10 will enhance mixing and limit surface warming, while widespread stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation compared to the sunny 26–28 °C conditions of September 8–9. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon maxima most often between 18–19 °C, with only modest spread from variations in frontal timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 19 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to the narrow 18–21 °C range. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak temperature and associated market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 10. September?
20°C 42%
19°C 39%
21°C 13%
18°C 9%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
39%
20°C
42%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C oder höher
2%
20°C 42%
19°C 39%
21°C 13%
18°C 9%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$2 Vol.
2%
16°C
$15 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
42%
21°C
$43 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a cold front approaching Warsaw from the west, advecting cooler maritime polar air and increasing cloud cover with light rain, which caps daytime heating and supports market-implied odds clustering around 19–20 °C.**
Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h on September 10 will enhance mixing and limit surface warming, while widespread stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation compared to the sunny 26–28 °C conditions of September 8–9. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon maxima most often between 18–19 °C, with only modest spread from variations in frontal timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 19 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to the narrow 18–21 °C range. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak temperature and associated market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$60Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a cold front approaching Warsaw from the west, advecting cooler maritime polar air and increasing cloud cover with light rain, which caps daytime heating and supports market-implied odds clustering around 19–20 °C.**
Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h on September 10 will enhance mixing and limit surface warming, while widespread stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation compared to the sunny 26–28 °C conditions of September 8–9. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon maxima most often between 18–19 °C, with only modest spread from variations in frontal timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 19 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to the narrow 18–21 °C range. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak temperature and associated market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$60Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a cold front approaching Warsaw from the west, advecting cooler maritime polar air and increasing cloud cover with light rain, which caps daytime heating and supports market-implied odds clustering around 19–20 °C.** Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h on September 10 will enhance mixing and limit surface warming, while widespread stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation compared to the sunny 26–28 °C conditions of September 8–9. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon maxima most often between 18–19 °C, with only modest spread from variations in frontal timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 19 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to the narrow 18–21 °C range. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak temperature and associated market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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