Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. This consensus, with limited model spread, positions 30°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while 29°C trails closely at 41.5%. Recent observations show September 7 highs of 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms and a lack of strong warming or cooling signals from regional pressure patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with minimal precipitation expected to influence maximum readings. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 8. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 8. September?
30°C 56%
29°C 42%
28°C 4%
31°C 4%
NEU
$27,232 Vol.
NEU
$27,232 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
42%
30°C
56%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 56%
29°C 42%
28°C 4%
31°C 4%
NEU
$27,232 Vol.
NEU
$27,232 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$286 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,548 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,678 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,471 Vol.
4%
29°C
$6,450 Vol.
42%
30°C
$7,241 Vol.
56%
31°C
$2,269 Vol.
4%
32°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. This consensus, with limited model spread, positions 30°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while 29°C trails closely at 41.5%. Recent observations show September 7 highs of 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms and a lack of strong warming or cooling signals from regional pressure patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with minimal precipitation expected to influence maximum readings. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$27,232Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. This consensus, with limited model spread, positions 30°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while 29°C trails closely at 41.5%. Recent observations show September 7 highs of 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms and a lack of strong warming or cooling signals from regional pressure patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with minimal precipitation expected to influence maximum readings. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$27,232Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. This consensus, with limited model spread, positions 30°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while 29°C trails closely at 41.5%. Recent observations show September 7 highs of 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms and a lack of strong warming or cooling signals from regional pressure patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with minimal precipitation expected to influence maximum readings. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point for any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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