Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS positions the overnight low in Shanghai near 23–24 °C on September 9, 2026, under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, driving the 80 % market-implied probability for a 24 °C minimum. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with historical early-September lows averaging around 24 °C providing climatological context. Recent model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge the actual minimum toward 23 °C, reflected in its secondary 14.5 % odds. Traders are weighting these real-time atmospheric conditions and verification thresholds heavily as the day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 9. September?
24°C 81%
23°C 15.9%
22°C 2.5%
21°C <1%
$12,293 Vol.
$12,293 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
16%
24°C
81%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 81%
23°C 15.9%
22°C 2.5%
21°C <1%
$12,293 Vol.
$12,293 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$231 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,168 Vol.
2%
23°C
$2,454 Vol.
16%
24°C
$4,638 Vol.
81%
25°C
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS positions the overnight low in Shanghai near 23–24 °C on September 9, 2026, under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, driving the 80 % market-implied probability for a 24 °C minimum. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with historical early-September lows averaging around 24 °C providing climatological context. Recent model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge the actual minimum toward 23 °C, reflected in its secondary 14.5 % odds. Traders are weighting these real-time atmospheric conditions and verification thresholds heavily as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$12,293Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS positions the overnight low in Shanghai near 23–24 °C on September 9, 2026, under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, driving the 80 % market-implied probability for a 24 °C minimum. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with historical early-September lows averaging around 24 °C providing climatological context. Recent model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge the actual minimum toward 23 °C, reflected in its secondary 14.5 % odds. Traders are weighting these real-time atmospheric conditions and verification thresholds heavily as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,293Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS positions the overnight low in Shanghai near 23–24 °C on September 9, 2026, under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity, driving the 80 % market-implied probability for a 24 °C minimum. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with historical early-September lows averaging around 24 °C providing climatological context. Recent model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge the actual minimum toward 23 °C, reflected in its secondary 14.5 % odds. Traders are weighting these real-time atmospheric conditions and verification thresholds heavily as the day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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