Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 11 most likely near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light to moderate northeast winds. This consensus drives the close market split between those two outcomes, reflecting typical early-September maritime conditions with limited overnight radiational cooling and no strong cold-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows low variability in the 22–25°C range, consistent with climatological September lows around 20–24°C, while the absence of significant precipitation or frontal passages reduces the chance of sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 11. September?
19°C oder darunter 31%
24°C 29%
25°C 27%
23°C 22%
19°C oder darunter
31%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C
27%
26°C
19%
27°C
15%
28°C
15%
29°C oder höher
18%
19°C oder darunter 31%
24°C 29%
25°C 27%
23°C 22%
19°C oder darunter
31%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C
27%
26°C
19%
27°C
15%
28°C
15%
29°C oder höher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 11 most likely near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light to moderate northeast winds. This consensus drives the close market split between those two outcomes, reflecting typical early-September maritime conditions with limited overnight radiational cooling and no strong cold-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows low variability in the 22–25°C range, consistent with climatological September lows around 20–24°C, while the absence of significant precipitation or frontal passages reduces the chance of sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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