Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 9, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C. Spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average September highs of 14°C, supported by northerly flow and partly cloudy skies without strong cold fronts or clear anticyclonic setup that would push readings notably higher or lower. Recent observations on September 8 show temperatures tracking seasonal baselines around 12–13°C, with no rapid model shifts in the latest runs. Traders appear to price in modest upside potential to 15°C under warmer boundary-layer mixing while discounting sub-13°C outcomes given the absence of southerly outbreaks. Updated official guidance from New Zealand meteorological agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 9. September?
14°C 66%
15°C 17%
13°C 17%
12°C 2%
$10,262 Vol.
$10,262 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
66%
15°C
17%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 66%
15°C 17%
13°C 17%
12°C 2%
$10,262 Vol.
$10,262 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
66%
15°C
17%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 9, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C. Spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average September highs of 14°C, supported by northerly flow and partly cloudy skies without strong cold fronts or clear anticyclonic setup that would push readings notably higher or lower. Recent observations on September 8 show temperatures tracking seasonal baselines around 12–13°C, with no rapid model shifts in the latest runs. Traders appear to price in modest upside potential to 15°C under warmer boundary-layer mixing while discounting sub-13°C outcomes given the absence of southerly outbreaks. Updated official guidance from New Zealand meteorological agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen