**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. September?
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,876 Vol.
$32,876 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Ja
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,876 Vol.
$32,876 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$566 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,997 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$487 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$1,595 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$6,000 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$8,540 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$4,092 Vol.
Ja
31°C
$5,438 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$2,989 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$828 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$345 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$32,876Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,876Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 30°C due to the official DOST-PAGASA forecast of a 24–30°C range for Metro Manila.** Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical September conditions where historical highs average 30–32°C but often fall short under rainy-season suppression. Current observations and model consensus show peaks near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F), with high humidity and precipitation further capping extremes. This market-implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of official monitoring data and the low likelihood of significant clearing that could push readings higher. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or localized heat buildup could still allow 31°C or above before the day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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