**Trader consensus positions 90-91°F as the leading outcome (48.5% implied probability) for Miami’s September 13 maximum temperature, followed by 88-89°F (32.5%), reflecting official National Weather Service guidance of a high near 88°F amid 70-80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting southeast, and widespread convective activity—typical for mid-September in South Florida—limit daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and triggering early cooling from rain. This aligns with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 89.4°F while accounting for model consensus on storm timing that could cap readings in the upper 80s. Recent NWS updates and ensemble forecasts show minimal deviation, though any delay in thunderstorm development could push peaks toward 90°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 13. September?
90-91°F 49%
88-89°F 33%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 5%
NEU
$10,646 Vol.
NEU
$10,646 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
49%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
1%
96–97°F
1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
90-91°F 49%
88-89°F 33%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 5%
NEU
$10,646 Vol.
NEU
$10,646 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
79°F oder darunter
$113 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$329 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$322 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$209 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$737 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$3,007 Vol.
33%
90-91°F
$1,600 Vol.
49%
92-93°F
$2,275 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$1,396 Vol.
1%
96–97°F
$165 Vol.
1%
98°F oder höher
$492 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus positions 90-91°F as the leading outcome (48.5% implied probability) for Miami’s September 13 maximum temperature, followed by 88-89°F (32.5%), reflecting official National Weather Service guidance of a high near 88°F amid 70-80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.**
Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting southeast, and widespread convective activity—typical for mid-September in South Florida—limit daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and triggering early cooling from rain. This aligns with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 89.4°F while accounting for model consensus on storm timing that could cap readings in the upper 80s. Recent NWS updates and ensemble forecasts show minimal deviation, though any delay in thunderstorm development could push peaks toward 90°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,646Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus positions 90-91°F as the leading outcome (48.5% implied probability) for Miami’s September 13 maximum temperature, followed by 88-89°F (32.5%), reflecting official National Weather Service guidance of a high near 88°F amid 70-80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.**
Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting southeast, and widespread convective activity—typical for mid-September in South Florida—limit daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and triggering early cooling from rain. This aligns with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 89.4°F while accounting for model consensus on storm timing that could cap readings in the upper 80s. Recent NWS updates and ensemble forecasts show minimal deviation, though any delay in thunderstorm development could push peaks toward 90°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,646Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus positions 90-91°F as the leading outcome (48.5% implied probability) for Miami’s September 13 maximum temperature, followed by 88-89°F (32.5%), reflecting official National Weather Service guidance of a high near 88°F amid 70-80% chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting southeast, and widespread convective activity—typical for mid-September in South Florida—limit daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and triggering early cooling from rain. This aligns with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 89.4°F while accounting for model consensus on storm timing that could cap readings in the upper 80s. Recent NWS updates and ensemble forecasts show minimal deviation, though any delay in thunderstorm development could push peaks toward 90°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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