Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall has sharply lowered daytime highs in Chengdu, shifting trader focus toward 24–26°C outcomes for September 11. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 23–25°C amid elevated humidity and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the post-heatwave pattern after early-September peaks above 34°C, though minor model differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the close spread between 24°C and 26°C probabilities. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local observations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 11. September?
25°C 25%
26°C 16%
24°C 15%
23°C 12%
20°C oder weniger
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
12%
24°C
15%
25°C
25%
26°C
16%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C oder mehr
<1%
25°C 25%
26°C 16%
24°C 15%
23°C 12%
20°C oder weniger
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
12%
24°C
15%
25°C
25%
26°C
16%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C oder mehr
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall has sharply lowered daytime highs in Chengdu, shifting trader focus toward 24–26°C outcomes for September 11. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 23–25°C amid elevated humidity and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the post-heatwave pattern after early-September peaks above 34°C, though minor model differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the close spread between 24°C and 26°C probabilities. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local observations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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