Recent cold air advection and widespread rainfall over the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp temperature drop, with official forecasts showing Chengdu's September 11 overnight low settling near 16–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while light winds and residual moisture moderate extremes, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-15°C and mid-20s outcomes. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 11. September?
14°C oder darunter 94%
24°C oder höher 93%
20°C 40%
15°C 39%
14°C oder darunter
94%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
23%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
93%
14°C oder darunter 94%
24°C oder höher 93%
20°C 40%
15°C 39%
14°C oder darunter
94%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
23%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection and widespread rainfall over the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp temperature drop, with official forecasts showing Chengdu's September 11 overnight low settling near 16–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while light winds and residual moisture moderate extremes, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-15°C and mid-20s outcomes. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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