Current forecast models indicate a high near 33°C for Karachi on September 11, consistent with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability, as southwesterly monsoon winds and partly cloudy conditions moderate daytime heating under typical early-September humidity levels around 60%. Recent observations and runs from sources such as WeatherBug and the Met Office show highs stabilizing at 32–34°C with minimal day-to-day shifts, while historical averages for the date hover near 32°C and no major synoptic changes or heat anomalies have emerged. This consensus positions 34°C as the secondary outcome at 25% amid slight model spread, with lower probabilities reflecting the low likelihood of significant deviations from the current stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 11. September?
33°C 59%
34°C 29%
32°C 11%
35°C 4%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
59%
34°C
29%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 29%
32°C 11%
35°C 4%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
59%
34°C
29%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a high near 33°C for Karachi on September 11, consistent with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability, as southwesterly monsoon winds and partly cloudy conditions moderate daytime heating under typical early-September humidity levels around 60%. Recent observations and runs from sources such as WeatherBug and the Met Office show highs stabilizing at 32–34°C with minimal day-to-day shifts, while historical averages for the date hover near 32°C and no major synoptic changes or heat anomalies have emerged. This consensus positions 34°C as the secondary outcome at 25% amid slight model spread, with lower probabilities reflecting the low likelihood of significant deviations from the current stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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