**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 9. September?
16°C 99.5%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
$1,662 Vol.
$1,662 Vol.
11°C oder weniger
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
16°C 99.5%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
$1,662 Vol.
$1,662 Vol.
11°C oder weniger
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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