**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, centering near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus, drawn from observations and model runs showing morning temperatures climbing from around 11–13°C to afternoon peaks near 17–19°C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20°C (60.5% implied probability) as the resolution outcome, with 19°C and 21°C as close alternatives. Early September climatology supports mild conditions after cooler prior days, and stable atmospheric patterns have kept model spreads narrow without significant revisions in the past 24–48 hours. Traders appear to price in the upper end of the forecast range given the skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data points, though any late-day observational adjustment or model shift could still influence the exact maximum recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 9. September?
20°C 60%
19°C 20%
21°C 18%
22°C 2.8%
$19,897 Vol.
$19,897 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
20%
20°C
60%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C oder höher
1%
20°C 60%
19°C 20%
21°C 18%
22°C 2.8%
$19,897 Vol.
$19,897 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
20%
20°C
60%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, centering near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus, drawn from observations and model runs showing morning temperatures climbing from around 11–13°C to afternoon peaks near 17–19°C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20°C (60.5% implied probability) as the resolution outcome, with 19°C and 21°C as close alternatives. Early September climatology supports mild conditions after cooler prior days, and stable atmospheric patterns have kept model spreads narrow without significant revisions in the past 24–48 hours. Traders appear to price in the upper end of the forecast range given the skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data points, though any late-day observational adjustment or model shift could still influence the exact maximum recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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