Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high near 25°C for Toronto on September 7 under sunny skies with light winds and stable high pressure, aligning with the market-implied 37% odds on that exact threshold. Seasonal norms place the historical average high at 23.7°C, and current conditions reflect typical early-September patterns without major atmospheric disturbances or fronts to drive significant deviation. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 24–26°C captures model uncertainty ranges and potential minor revisions in the final 48-hour guidance, as numerical forecasts can shift slightly with updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 7. September?
25°C 37%
24°C 36%
26°C 16%
23°C 11%
20°C oder weniger
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
28%
25°C
37%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C oder höher
6%
25°C 37%
24°C 36%
26°C 16%
23°C 11%
20°C oder weniger
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
28%
25°C
37%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high near 25°C for Toronto on September 7 under sunny skies with light winds and stable high pressure, aligning with the market-implied 37% odds on that exact threshold. Seasonal norms place the historical average high at 23.7°C, and current conditions reflect typical early-September patterns without major atmospheric disturbances or fronts to drive significant deviation. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 24–26°C captures model uncertainty ranges and potential minor revisions in the final 48-hour guidance, as numerical forecasts can shift slightly with updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen