**Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a sunny day on September 6 with a high of 25°C, above the 1991–2020 average high of 23.8°C for the date, while several GFS-based and other models project cooler conditions around 20–22°C under easterly flow and clearer skies.** This model spread, combined with moderating lake influences and recent cooling trends after warmer early-September days, positions 23°C as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C (23%) and 24°C (18%). Traders appear to weigh the official outlook against historical variability—where September 6 highs have ranged widely—and upcoming model updates that could refine land-based versus lake-modified temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson Airport or equivalent station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 6. September?
23°C 47%
22°C 25%
24°C 18%
21°C 7%
19°C oder weniger
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
25%
23°C
47%
24°C
18%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
2%
23°C 47%
22°C 25%
24°C 18%
21°C 7%
19°C oder weniger
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
25%
23°C
47%
24°C
18%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a sunny day on September 6 with a high of 25°C, above the 1991–2020 average high of 23.8°C for the date, while several GFS-based and other models project cooler conditions around 20–22°C under easterly flow and clearer skies.** This model spread, combined with moderating lake influences and recent cooling trends after warmer early-September days, positions 23°C as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C (23%) and 24°C (18%). Traders appear to weigh the official outlook against historical variability—where September 6 highs have ranged widely—and upcoming model updates that could refine land-based versus lake-modified temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson Airport or equivalent station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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