Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 68°F for San Francisco on September 6, driven by persistent onshore westerlies and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Trader consensus splits narrowly between the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, wind gust strength around 20 mph, or coastal fog clearance timing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet current below-normal coastal sea-surface temperatures reinforce the cooler bias seen in recent days. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the close market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 6. September?
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 38%
66-67°F 13%
72-73°F 8%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
15°C oder darunter
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63 °F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78°F oder höher
3%
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 38%
66-67°F 13%
72-73°F 8%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
15°C oder darunter
$453 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$8 Vol.
1%
62-63 °F
$13 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$13 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$77 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$173 Vol.
40%
70-71°F
$479 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$37 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$23 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 68°F for San Francisco on September 6, driven by persistent onshore westerlies and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Trader consensus splits narrowly between the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, wind gust strength around 20 mph, or coastal fog clearance timing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet current below-normal coastal sea-surface temperatures reinforce the cooler bias seen in recent days. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the close market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,276Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 68°F for San Francisco on September 6, driven by persistent onshore westerlies and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Trader consensus splits narrowly between the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, wind gust strength around 20 mph, or coastal fog clearance timing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet current below-normal coastal sea-surface temperatures reinforce the cooler bias seen in recent days. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the close market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,276Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 68°F for San Francisco on September 6, driven by persistent onshore westerlies and a moderate marine layer that limits afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Trader consensus splits narrowly between the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, wind gust strength around 20 mph, or coastal fog clearance timing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet current below-normal coastal sea-surface temperatures reinforce the cooler bias seen in recent days. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the close market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen