Recent numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum near 20–21°C in Qingdao on September 7 under clear skies and light-to-moderate northerly winds. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling, yet the coastal marine layer and sustained breezes limit sharp temperature drops while preventing excessive heat retention. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 18–20°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs or localized sea-breeze effects remain the main variables that could shift the exact minimum within the 18–22°C band before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 7. September?
15°C oder niedriger 100%
25°C oder höher 95%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C oder niedriger
100%
16°C
49%
17°C
26%
18°C
33%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C oder höher
95%
15°C oder niedriger 100%
25°C oder höher 95%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C oder niedriger
100%
16°C
49%
17°C
26%
18°C
33%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C oder höher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum near 20–21°C in Qingdao on September 7 under clear skies and light-to-moderate northerly winds. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling, yet the coastal marine layer and sustained breezes limit sharp temperature drops while preventing excessive heat retention. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 18–20°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes. Minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs or localized sea-breeze effects remain the main variables that could shift the exact minimum within the 18–22°C band before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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