Recent forecast consensus from regional models indicates a maximum temperature near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 7, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop midday. Convective activity could suppress peaks through cloud cover and rainfall, while breaks in activity or localized heating might allow brief rises toward 33°C. Official guidance highlights typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta, where afternoon instability often determines whether highs reach or fall short of 32°C thresholds. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 34.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this model consensus amid moderate uncertainty from precipitation timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 7. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 7. September?
32°C 35%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 18%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
18%
30°C
11%
31°C
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C oder höher
3%
32°C 35%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 18%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$2 Vol.
11%
31°C
$14 Vol.
20%
32°C
$6 Vol.
35%
33°C
$6 Vol.
24%
34°C
$53 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C oder höher
$20 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models indicates a maximum temperature near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 7, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop midday. Convective activity could suppress peaks through cloud cover and rainfall, while breaks in activity or localized heating might allow brief rises toward 33°C. Official guidance highlights typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta, where afternoon instability often determines whether highs reach or fall short of 32°C thresholds. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 34.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this model consensus amid moderate uncertainty from precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$101Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models indicates a maximum temperature near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 7, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop midday. Convective activity could suppress peaks through cloud cover and rainfall, while breaks in activity or localized heating might allow brief rises toward 33°C. Official guidance highlights typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta, where afternoon instability often determines whether highs reach or fall short of 32°C thresholds. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 34.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this model consensus amid moderate uncertainty from precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$101Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models indicates a maximum temperature near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 7, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop midday. Convective activity could suppress peaks through cloud cover and rainfall, while breaks in activity or localized heating might allow brief rises toward 33°C. Official guidance highlights typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta, where afternoon instability often determines whether highs reach or fall short of 32°C thresholds. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 34.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this model consensus amid moderate uncertainty from precipitation timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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