Current forecast models for Guangzhou on September 7 point to partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms, producing market-implied odds clustered around 34–36°C as the most probable daily maximum. Afternoon convection, fueled by southeasterly monsoon moisture and residual influence from the western Pacific subtropical high, tends to build cloud cover that caps peak heating, while clearer morning periods allow temperatures to reach the low-to-mid 30s. Historical September 7 averages near 32.6°C, with records up to 35.2°C occurring under drier, sunnier setups. Model spreads in timing and intensity of any showers introduce the observed uncertainty, with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 7. September?
35°C 28%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C 13%
29°C oder darunter
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
13%
34°C
28%
35°C
31%
36°C
23%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C oder höher
2%
35°C 28%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C 13%
29°C oder darunter
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
13%
34°C
28%
35°C
31%
36°C
23%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Guangzhou on September 7 point to partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms, producing market-implied odds clustered around 34–36°C as the most probable daily maximum. Afternoon convection, fueled by southeasterly monsoon moisture and residual influence from the western Pacific subtropical high, tends to build cloud cover that caps peak heating, while clearer morning periods allow temperatures to reach the low-to-mid 30s. Historical September 7 averages near 32.6°C, with records up to 35.2°C occurring under drier, sunnier setups. Model spreads in timing and intensity of any showers introduce the observed uncertainty, with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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