Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 4 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91 °F reflecting modest differences among ensemble runs. Onshore easterly flow off Lake Michigan is expected to temper peak readings near the shoreline while inland areas may reach the low 90s before any afternoon convection develops. A 30–50 % chance of showers and thunderstorms, combined with increasing cloud cover, introduces additional uncertainty in the precise maximum. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal climatological ceiling rather than extremes, with fresh model cycles and the next NWS forecast update likely to refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 4. September?
88-89°F 22%
86-87 °F 22%
90-91°F 19%
84-85°F 11%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
79°F oder niedriger
1%
80–81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87 °F
22%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
4%
98°F oder höher
2%
88-89°F 22%
86-87 °F 22%
90-91°F 19%
84-85°F 11%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
79°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
1%
80–81°F
$7 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$63 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$144 Vol.
11%
86-87 °F
$112 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$318 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$424 Vol.
19%
92-93°F
$120 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$84 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
4%
98°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 4 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91 °F reflecting modest differences among ensemble runs. Onshore easterly flow off Lake Michigan is expected to temper peak readings near the shoreline while inland areas may reach the low 90s before any afternoon convection develops. A 30–50 % chance of showers and thunderstorms, combined with increasing cloud cover, introduces additional uncertainty in the precise maximum. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal climatological ceiling rather than extremes, with fresh model cycles and the next NWS forecast update likely to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,272Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 4 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91 °F reflecting modest differences among ensemble runs. Onshore easterly flow off Lake Michigan is expected to temper peak readings near the shoreline while inland areas may reach the low 90s before any afternoon convection develops. A 30–50 % chance of showers and thunderstorms, combined with increasing cloud cover, introduces additional uncertainty in the precise maximum. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal climatological ceiling rather than extremes, with fresh model cycles and the next NWS forecast update likely to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,272Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 4 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91 °F reflecting modest differences among ensemble runs. Onshore easterly flow off Lake Michigan is expected to temper peak readings near the shoreline while inland areas may reach the low 90s before any afternoon convection develops. A 30–50 % chance of showers and thunderstorms, combined with increasing cloud cover, introduces additional uncertainty in the precise maximum. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal climatological ceiling rather than extremes, with fresh model cycles and the next NWS forecast update likely to refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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