Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources such as Yr.no indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 2, with ranges typically spanning 20–22°C amid southwesterly winds and scattered light rain. This positions 21°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, followed by 22°C, as conditions reflect typical early-September cooling after warmer readings near 25°C on September 1 and align closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Cloud cover and modest precipitation potential limit further warming, while model consensus leaves limited room for outliers above 23°C or below 20°C given the stable steering pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 2. September?
21°C 50%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
19°C 4%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
16%
21°C
50%
22°C
28%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
19°C 4%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
16%
21°C
50%
22°C
28%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources such as Yr.no indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 2, with ranges typically spanning 20–22°C amid southwesterly winds and scattered light rain. This positions 21°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, followed by 22°C, as conditions reflect typical early-September cooling after warmer readings near 25°C on September 1 and align closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Cloud cover and modest precipitation potential limit further warming, while model consensus leaves limited room for outliers above 23°C or below 20°C given the stable steering pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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