Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Chicago's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the mid-70s°F, driven by a warm, humid southwest flow ahead of any potential boundary. This setup favors overnight lows near 74–78°F amid partly cloudy skies and scattered storm chances that limit radiational cooling, well above the 1991–2020 average of 63°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 86°F+ and 67°F-or-below bins because model runs show modest uncertainty in exact boundary timing and lake-breeze effects, while narrower ranges around 74–79°F trade lower amid that spread. Updated NWS guidance and evening model cycles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 3. September?
67°F oder darunter 81%
86°F oder höher 81%
84-85°F 45%
74-75°F 27%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
67°F oder darunter
81%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
45%
86°F oder höher
81%
67°F oder darunter 81%
86°F oder höher 81%
84-85°F 45%
74-75°F 27%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
67°F oder darunter
$20 Vol.
81%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
45%
86°F oder höher
$10 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Chicago's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the mid-70s°F, driven by a warm, humid southwest flow ahead of any potential boundary. This setup favors overnight lows near 74–78°F amid partly cloudy skies and scattered storm chances that limit radiational cooling, well above the 1991–2020 average of 63°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 86°F+ and 67°F-or-below bins because model runs show modest uncertainty in exact boundary timing and lake-breeze effects, while narrower ranges around 74–79°F trade lower amid that spread. Updated NWS guidance and evening model cycles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$40Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Chicago's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the mid-70s°F, driven by a warm, humid southwest flow ahead of any potential boundary. This setup favors overnight lows near 74–78°F amid partly cloudy skies and scattered storm chances that limit radiational cooling, well above the 1991–2020 average of 63°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 86°F+ and 67°F-or-below bins because model runs show modest uncertainty in exact boundary timing and lake-breeze effects, while narrower ranges around 74–79°F trade lower amid that spread. Updated NWS guidance and evening model cycles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Chicago's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the mid-70s°F, driven by a warm, humid southwest flow ahead of any potential boundary. This setup favors overnight lows near 74–78°F amid partly cloudy skies and scattered storm chances that limit radiational cooling, well above the 1991–2020 average of 63°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 86°F+ and 67°F-or-below bins because model runs show modest uncertainty in exact boundary timing and lake-breeze effects, while narrower ranges around 74–79°F trade lower amid that spread. Updated NWS guidance and evening model cycles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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