Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and high dew points that limit radiational cooling. Persistent late-summer warmth has kept recent minima several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74 °F, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or significant cloud cover reduces the chance of a sharp drop. Traders therefore price the central 76–81 °F buckets near 25 % each, yet assign comparable weight to the extreme tails because short-range model runs can still shift several degrees with the next update cycle. Resolution hinges on the official Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport observation at midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 4. September?
69°F oder darunter 69%
88°F oder höher 69%
78-79°F 50%
74-75°F 49%
69°F oder darunter
69%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F oder höher
69%
69°F oder darunter 69%
88°F oder höher 69%
78-79°F 50%
74-75°F 49%
69°F oder darunter
69%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and high dew points that limit radiational cooling. Persistent late-summer warmth has kept recent minima several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74 °F, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or significant cloud cover reduces the chance of a sharp drop. Traders therefore price the central 76–81 °F buckets near 25 % each, yet assign comparable weight to the extreme tails because short-range model runs can still shift several degrees with the next update cycle. Resolution hinges on the official Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport observation at midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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