Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 2 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around 78–81°F. Persistent southeasterly flow, dew points near 70°F, and limited overnight cloud cover are maintaining warmth, while any increase in mid-level moisture or light winds could allow modest radiational cooling toward 78°F. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows near 74°F, so current conditions reflect above-normal heat that traders are pricing into the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether subtle steering changes tighten or widen this range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 2. September?
80-81°F 53%
82-83°F 45%
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 41%
69°F oder darunter
13%
70-71°F
13%
72–73°F
40%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
23%
88°F oder höher
35%
80-81°F 53%
82-83°F 45%
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 41%
69°F oder darunter
13%
70-71°F
13%
72–73°F
40%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
23%
88°F oder höher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 2 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around 78–81°F. Persistent southeasterly flow, dew points near 70°F, and limited overnight cloud cover are maintaining warmth, while any increase in mid-level moisture or light winds could allow modest radiational cooling toward 78°F. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows near 74°F, so current conditions reflect above-normal heat that traders are pricing into the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether subtle steering changes tighten or widen this range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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