Recent official forecasts from agencies and models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature of 19–20 °C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress daytime heating. Afternoon peaks are projected near 19–20 °C amid 80–95 % precipitation probability and winds of 15–19 mph, consistent with climatological cooling trends late in the month when average highs fall toward 21 °C. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside potential beyond 21 °C without a sudden clearing, while downside risk to 18 °C or below remains if heavier rain arrives earlier; traders appear to weight these model outputs heavily given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 31. August?
20°C 46%
19°C 27%
21°C 13%
18°C 11%
14°C oder niedriger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
11%
19°C
27%
20°C
46%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
1%
20°C 46%
19°C 27%
21°C 13%
18°C 11%
14°C oder niedriger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
11%
19°C
27%
20°C
46%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature of 19–20 °C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress daytime heating. Afternoon peaks are projected near 19–20 °C amid 80–95 % precipitation probability and winds of 15–19 mph, consistent with climatological cooling trends late in the month when average highs fall toward 21 °C. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside potential beyond 21 °C without a sudden clearing, while downside risk to 18 °C or below remains if heavier rain arrives earlier; traders appear to weight these model outputs heavily given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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