Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Finnish Meteorological Institute place the most likely daily maximum near 19°C for Helsinki on August 31, aligning with the 44% implied probability. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions and modest northerly flow that have kept recent observations within seasonal norms of 17–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around 18–20°C, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 31. August?
19°C 44%
18°C 26%
20°C 20%
21°C 9%
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
44%
20°C
20%
21°C
9%
22°C oder höher
4%
19°C 44%
18°C 26%
20°C 20%
21°C 9%
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
44%
20°C
20%
21°C
9%
22°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Finnish Meteorological Institute place the most likely daily maximum near 19°C for Helsinki on August 31, aligning with the 44% implied probability. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions and modest northerly flow that have kept recent observations within seasonal norms of 17–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around 18–20°C, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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