Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight very hot daytime conditions on August 28 driven by subsiding air from nearby tropical cyclone activity, supporting a market consensus centered on 31–33 °C peaks. Sunny intervals could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the 28–33 °C range, while scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms introduce cooling that caps extremes, creating the tight implied probabilities across 31 °C (26 %), 32 °C (30.5 %), and 33 °C (22 %). Westerly winds and high humidity further modulate local maxima, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of convection relative to peak heating hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 28. August?
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
34°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
20%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
34°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
20%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight very hot daytime conditions on August 28 driven by subsiding air from nearby tropical cyclone activity, supporting a market consensus centered on 31–33 °C peaks. Sunny intervals could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the 28–33 °C range, while scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms introduce cooling that caps extremes, creating the tight implied probabilities across 31 °C (26 %), 32 °C (30.5 %), and 33 °C (22 %). Westerly winds and high humidity further modulate local maxima, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of convection relative to peak heating hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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