Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international models converge on a maximum temperature near 19°C in Moscow on August 28 under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and low precipitation chances, keeping surface heating modest. This positions the 19°C and 20°C outcomes as frontrunners in trader consensus, with differentiation hinging on subtle factors such as afternoon cloud cover extent, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C from peak readings. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs of 18–21°C, underscoring why these narrow bins capture most implied probability while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 28. August?
19°C 46%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 12%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
33%
20°C
29%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 46%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 12%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
33%
20°C
29%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international models converge on a maximum temperature near 19°C in Moscow on August 28 under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and low precipitation chances, keeping surface heating modest. This positions the 19°C and 20°C outcomes as frontrunners in trader consensus, with differentiation hinging on subtle factors such as afternoon cloud cover extent, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C from peak readings. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs of 18–21°C, underscoring why these narrow bins capture most implied probability while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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