Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a Moscow daytime maximum near 19°C on August 27, supported by a shift to northerly flow that limits warm advection while allowing moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover. Recent days featured cooler, moist westerly air with showers keeping highs around 17–19°C; the transition reduces precipitation chances and supports modest boundary-layer warming. Close market probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflect ensemble spread in exact cloud fraction, wind-driven mixing, and any brief convective activity that could cap peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 19–20°C, with uncertainty persisting until updated model runs closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 27. August?
19°C 32%
18°C 32%
17°C 25%
20°C 9%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
25%
18°C
32%
19°C
32%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 32%
18°C 32%
17°C 25%
20°C 9%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
25%
18°C
32%
19°C
32%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a Moscow daytime maximum near 19°C on August 27, supported by a shift to northerly flow that limits warm advection while allowing moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover. Recent days featured cooler, moist westerly air with showers keeping highs around 17–19°C; the transition reduces precipitation chances and supports modest boundary-layer warming. Close market probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflect ensemble spread in exact cloud fraction, wind-driven mixing, and any brief convective activity that could cap peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 19–20°C, with uncertainty persisting until updated model runs closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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