Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent subtropical moisture and widespread thunderstorms on August 25, with model consensus favoring daily maxima near 30–32 °C. High humidity near 85 % combined with cloud cover and rainfall will limit insolation while promoting evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching the clearer-sky peaks typical of late-summer climatology. Light southerly flow and the absence of a strong subtropical ridge further suppress warming, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Updated numerical guidance and satellite monitoring of any approaching convective systems remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the highest temperature across the narrow 31–32 °C threshold favored by current trader sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 25. August?
32°C 28%
31°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 28%
31°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$10 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$35 Vol.
25%
32°C
$35 Vol.
28%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$100 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent subtropical moisture and widespread thunderstorms on August 25, with model consensus favoring daily maxima near 30–32 °C. High humidity near 85 % combined with cloud cover and rainfall will limit insolation while promoting evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching the clearer-sky peaks typical of late-summer climatology. Light southerly flow and the absence of a strong subtropical ridge further suppress warming, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Updated numerical guidance and satellite monitoring of any approaching convective systems remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the highest temperature across the narrow 31–32 °C threshold favored by current trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$195Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent subtropical moisture and widespread thunderstorms on August 25, with model consensus favoring daily maxima near 30–32 °C. High humidity near 85 % combined with cloud cover and rainfall will limit insolation while promoting evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching the clearer-sky peaks typical of late-summer climatology. Light southerly flow and the absence of a strong subtropical ridge further suppress warming, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Updated numerical guidance and satellite monitoring of any approaching convective systems remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the highest temperature across the narrow 31–32 °C threshold favored by current trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$195Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent subtropical moisture and widespread thunderstorms on August 25, with model consensus favoring daily maxima near 30–32 °C. High humidity near 85 % combined with cloud cover and rainfall will limit insolation while promoting evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching the clearer-sky peaks typical of late-summer climatology. Light southerly flow and the absence of a strong subtropical ridge further suppress warming, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Updated numerical guidance and satellite monitoring of any approaching convective systems remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the highest temperature across the narrow 31–32 °C threshold favored by current trader sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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