Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 23. August?
31°C 33%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
29°C 8%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
31%
31°C
33%
32°C
28%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
29°C 8%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$112 Vol.
1%
27°C
$107 Vol.
1%
28°C
$167 Vol.
3%
29°C
$156 Vol.
8%
30°C
$231 Vol.
31%
31°C
$199 Vol.
33%
32°C
$217 Vol.
28%
33°C
$77 Vol.
5%
34°C
$81 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,724Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,724Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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