Trader sentiment for the August 23 minimum temperature in Hong Kong centers on forecast model consensus for overnight lows near 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light winds reduce mixing. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models highlight normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with climatological August minima around 26°C. Differentiation among 25–28°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud-cover evolution, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized urban heat-island modulation, with new model runs and observatory updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 23. August?
28°C 47%
26°C 37%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
7%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 47%
26°C 37%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
9%
23°C
$27 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$19 Vol.
24%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$42 Vol.
23%
31°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for the August 23 minimum temperature in Hong Kong centers on forecast model consensus for overnight lows near 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light winds reduce mixing. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models highlight normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with climatological August minima around 26°C. Differentiation among 25–28°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud-cover evolution, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized urban heat-island modulation, with new model runs and observatory updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$173Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for the August 23 minimum temperature in Hong Kong centers on forecast model consensus for overnight lows near 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light winds reduce mixing. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models highlight normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with climatological August minima around 26°C. Differentiation among 25–28°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud-cover evolution, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized urban heat-island modulation, with new model runs and observatory updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$173Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 23 minimum temperature in Hong Kong centers on forecast model consensus for overnight lows near 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light winds reduce mixing. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models highlight normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with climatological August minima around 26°C. Differentiation among 25–28°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud-cover evolution, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized urban heat-island modulation, with new model runs and observatory updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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