**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.** Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 21. August?
30°C 41%
29°C 26%
31°C 23%
28°C 9%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
41%
31°C
23%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 26%
31°C 23%
28°C 9%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$508 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$536 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,411 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,317 Vol.
9%
29°C
$451 Vol.
26%
30°C
$154 Vol.
41%
31°C
$174 Vol.
23%
32°C
$78 Vol.
5%
33°C
$138 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$253 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.**
Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,618Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.**
Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,618Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.** Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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