Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 19 indicate a maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies, with 30% morning precipitation probability dropping to 10% in the afternoon and a 24°C overnight low. Ensemble model consensus and historical mid-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 31°C, support trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes at combined 70% market-implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud thickness that can suppress daytime heating by 2–4°C and minor steering influences on any residual moisture. Recent clearing after early-August heatwave conditions adds slight upward bias, yet short-range model runs show limited further intensification potential before the 48-hour window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 19. August?
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
31%
30°C
40%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
31%
30°C
40%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 19 indicate a maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies, with 30% morning precipitation probability dropping to 10% in the afternoon and a 24°C overnight low. Ensemble model consensus and historical mid-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 31°C, support trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes at combined 70% market-implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud thickness that can suppress daytime heating by 2–4°C and minor steering influences on any residual moisture. Recent clearing after early-August heatwave conditions adds slight upward bias, yet short-range model runs show limited further intensification potential before the 48-hour window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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