Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. August?
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
39%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$40 Vol.
1%
30°C
$316 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$83 Vol.
33%
33°C
$75 Vol.
39%
34°C
$113 Vol.
12%
35°C
$7 Vol.
3%
36°C
$261 Vol.
7%
37°C
$11 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volumen
$956Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$956Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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