Current forecast models from ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17 most likely near 21–22°C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited warm-air advection. Recent extended-range guidance shows daily maxima in the 19–23°C range, consistent with the August climatological average of 21°C and without signals for significant heat or cooling anomalies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values, reflecting the narrow uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction two days ahead, while lower-probability outcomes would require unexpected model shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 17. August?
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
15%
21°C
52%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
15%
21°C
52%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17 most likely near 21–22°C under typical late-summer conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited warm-air advection. Recent extended-range guidance shows daily maxima in the 19–23°C range, consistent with the August climatological average of 21°C and without signals for significant heat or cooling anomalies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values, reflecting the narrow uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction two days ahead, while lower-probability outcomes would require unexpected model shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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