Recent forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, converge on a maximum temperature of 23–25°C for Moscow on August 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (25.5%). This range aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 22°C, but a transient ridge of high pressure and southerly flow have produced a modest warm anomaly over the past 48–72 hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant cooling from Atlantic fronts or warming from stronger subtropical advection. Official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and short-range model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak, keeping implied probabilities anchored near these central outcomes unless a late adjustment shifts the consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 17. August?
24°C 47%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
22°C 7%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C
19%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
4%
24°C 47%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
22°C 7%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
$106 Vol.
1%
20°C
$146 Vol.
2%
21°C
$97 Vol.
3%
22°C
$183 Vol.
7%
23°C
$337 Vol.
23%
24°C
$282 Vol.
47%
25°C
$624 Vol.
19%
26°C
$237 Vol.
6%
27°C
$192 Vol.
2%
28°C
$88 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, converge on a maximum temperature of 23–25°C for Moscow on August 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (25.5%). This range aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 22°C, but a transient ridge of high pressure and southerly flow have produced a modest warm anomaly over the past 48–72 hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant cooling from Atlantic fronts or warming from stronger subtropical advection. Official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and short-range model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak, keeping implied probabilities anchored near these central outcomes unless a late adjustment shifts the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$2,307Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, converge on a maximum temperature of 23–25°C for Moscow on August 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (25.5%). This range aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 22°C, but a transient ridge of high pressure and southerly flow have produced a modest warm anomaly over the past 48–72 hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant cooling from Atlantic fronts or warming from stronger subtropical advection. Official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and short-range model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak, keeping implied probabilities anchored near these central outcomes unless a late adjustment shifts the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,307Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, converge on a maximum temperature of 23–25°C for Moscow on August 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (25.5%). This range aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 22°C, but a transient ridge of high pressure and southerly flow have produced a modest warm anomaly over the past 48–72 hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant cooling from Atlantic fronts or warming from stronger subtropical advection. Official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and short-range model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak, keeping implied probabilities anchored near these central outcomes unless a late adjustment shifts the consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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