Traders are focusing on National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus projecting Miami’s August 17 overnight low near 80°F amid persistently high humidity and limited nighttime radiational cooling typical of the region’s tropical maritime air mass. Afternoon thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover remain the key variables that could allow slightly more cooling into the upper 70s or keep readings locked in the low 80s, explaining the tight contest between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Sea-breeze influences and urban heat retention further constrain downside potential, while recent days’ observed lows in the low-to-mid 80s reinforce expectations of minimal deviation from climatological norms. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 17. August?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 12%
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88°F oder höher
1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 12%
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88°F oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are focusing on National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus projecting Miami’s August 17 overnight low near 80°F amid persistently high humidity and limited nighttime radiational cooling typical of the region’s tropical maritime air mass. Afternoon thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover remain the key variables that could allow slightly more cooling into the upper 70s or keep readings locked in the low 80s, explaining the tight contest between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Sea-breeze influences and urban heat retention further constrain downside potential, while recent days’ observed lows in the low-to-mid 80s reinforce expectations of minimal deviation from climatological norms. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen