Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas have sustained above-normal temperatures into mid-August 2026, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 102°F for Austin on August 17 amid mostly sunny skies and heat indices reaching 105°F. Recent model runs from NWS and AccuWeather converge on this range, reflecting strong daytime insolation, limited vertical mixing, and climatological late-summer peaks near 99°F that are being exceeded by 3–4°F under the current ridge. Trader emphasis on the 100–103°F bins stems from narrow uncertainty in afternoon convection or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F versus full solar heating. Resolution hinges on the official NWS observation at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, where even small steering-pattern shifts or dewpoint mixing could differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 17. August?
102-103°F 44%
100-101°F 36%
104-105°F 12%
98-99°F 6%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
93°F oder darunter
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
44%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112°F oder höher
1%
102-103°F 44%
100-101°F 36%
104-105°F 12%
98-99°F 6%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
93°F oder darunter
$10 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$261 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$10 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$86 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$56 Vol.
36%
102-103°F
$62 Vol.
44%
104-105°F
$19 Vol.
12%
106-107°F
$90 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$48 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$85 Vol.
1%
112°F oder höher
$193 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas have sustained above-normal temperatures into mid-August 2026, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 102°F for Austin on August 17 amid mostly sunny skies and heat indices reaching 105°F. Recent model runs from NWS and AccuWeather converge on this range, reflecting strong daytime insolation, limited vertical mixing, and climatological late-summer peaks near 99°F that are being exceeded by 3–4°F under the current ridge. Trader emphasis on the 100–103°F bins stems from narrow uncertainty in afternoon convection or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F versus full solar heating. Resolution hinges on the official NWS observation at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, where even small steering-pattern shifts or dewpoint mixing could differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$918Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas have sustained above-normal temperatures into mid-August 2026, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 102°F for Austin on August 17 amid mostly sunny skies and heat indices reaching 105°F. Recent model runs from NWS and AccuWeather converge on this range, reflecting strong daytime insolation, limited vertical mixing, and climatological late-summer peaks near 99°F that are being exceeded by 3–4°F under the current ridge. Trader emphasis on the 100–103°F bins stems from narrow uncertainty in afternoon convection or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F versus full solar heating. Resolution hinges on the official NWS observation at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, where even small steering-pattern shifts or dewpoint mixing could differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$918Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas have sustained above-normal temperatures into mid-August 2026, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 102°F for Austin on August 17 amid mostly sunny skies and heat indices reaching 105°F. Recent model runs from NWS and AccuWeather converge on this range, reflecting strong daytime insolation, limited vertical mixing, and climatological late-summer peaks near 99°F that are being exceeded by 3–4°F under the current ridge. Trader emphasis on the 100–103°F bins stems from narrow uncertainty in afternoon convection or thin cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1–2°F versus full solar heating. Resolution hinges on the official NWS observation at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, where even small steering-pattern shifts or dewpoint mixing could differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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