Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 100°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong daytime heating typical of central Texas in mid-August, when climatological averages reach the mid-90s and daily maxima often touch 100–102°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited moisture or cloud cover that could temper temperatures, keeping the 100–101°F bin as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while allowing modest upside risk into the low 102–103°F range. Updated model runs through midday August 14 reinforce this consensus, with minimal spread in projected maximum temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 15. August?
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 5%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
91°F oder niedriger
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F oder höher
<1%
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 5%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
91°F oder niedriger
$30 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$82 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$157 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$538 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$335 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$691 Vol.
52%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
26%
104-105°F
$82 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$54 Vol.
3%
108-109°F
$158 Vol.
<1%
110°F oder höher
$327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 100°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong daytime heating typical of central Texas in mid-August, when climatological averages reach the mid-90s and daily maxima often touch 100–102°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited moisture or cloud cover that could temper temperatures, keeping the 100–101°F bin as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while allowing modest upside risk into the low 102–103°F range. Updated model runs through midday August 14 reinforce this consensus, with minimal spread in projected maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,515Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 100°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong daytime heating typical of central Texas in mid-August, when climatological averages reach the mid-90s and daily maxima often touch 100–102°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited moisture or cloud cover that could temper temperatures, keeping the 100–101°F bin as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while allowing modest upside risk into the low 102–103°F range. Updated model runs through midday August 14 reinforce this consensus, with minimal spread in projected maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,515Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 100°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong daytime heating typical of central Texas in mid-August, when climatological averages reach the mid-90s and daily maxima often touch 100–102°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited moisture or cloud cover that could temper temperatures, keeping the 100–101°F bin as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while allowing modest upside risk into the low 102–103°F range. Updated model runs through midday August 14 reinforce this consensus, with minimal spread in projected maximum temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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