Persistent summer conditions across the Arabian Peninsula, including strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover typical of mid-August, underpin the market's 62.5% implied probability for a Jeddah high of 41°C or above on August 16. Short-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project daytime maxima near 39–40°C (102–104°F) under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, while National Center for Meteorology outlooks note above-average regional temperatures for summer 2026. High humidity from the adjacent Red Sea can suppress nocturnal cooling and support peak readings, though model consensus still shows a plausible range down to 38–39°C if increased marine influence or minor cloud development occurs. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heat maxima against historical August averages of 37–40°C when assigning these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 16. August?
41°C oder höher 56%
40°C 22%
38°C 10%
39°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
10%
39°C
8%
40°C
22%
41°C oder höher
56%
41°C oder höher 56%
40°C 22%
38°C 10%
39°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
$372 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
3%
38°C
$3 Vol.
10%
39°C
$0 Vol.
8%
40°C
$48 Vol.
22%
41°C oder höher
$54 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions across the Arabian Peninsula, including strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover typical of mid-August, underpin the market's 62.5% implied probability for a Jeddah high of 41°C or above on August 16. Short-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project daytime maxima near 39–40°C (102–104°F) under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, while National Center for Meteorology outlooks note above-average regional temperatures for summer 2026. High humidity from the adjacent Red Sea can suppress nocturnal cooling and support peak readings, though model consensus still shows a plausible range down to 38–39°C if increased marine influence or minor cloud development occurs. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heat maxima against historical August averages of 37–40°C when assigning these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,377Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions across the Arabian Peninsula, including strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover typical of mid-August, underpin the market's 62.5% implied probability for a Jeddah high of 41°C or above on August 16. Short-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project daytime maxima near 39–40°C (102–104°F) under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, while National Center for Meteorology outlooks note above-average regional temperatures for summer 2026. High humidity from the adjacent Red Sea can suppress nocturnal cooling and support peak readings, though model consensus still shows a plausible range down to 38–39°C if increased marine influence or minor cloud development occurs. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heat maxima against historical August averages of 37–40°C when assigning these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,377Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer conditions across the Arabian Peninsula, including strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover typical of mid-August, underpin the market's 62.5% implied probability for a Jeddah high of 41°C or above on August 16. Short-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project daytime maxima near 39–40°C (102–104°F) under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, while National Center for Meteorology outlooks note above-average regional temperatures for summer 2026. High humidity from the adjacent Red Sea can suppress nocturnal cooling and support peak readings, though model consensus still shows a plausible range down to 38–39°C if increased marine influence or minor cloud development occurs. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heat maxima against historical August averages of 37–40°C when assigning these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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