Wellington's August climate features typical winter daily highs near 13°C under the influence of its maritime setting and prevailing westerly flows. Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–14°C on August 14, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting settled conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with climatological baselines rather than significant anomalies from ENSO patterns. Recent model consensus and observed trends over the past week show no major shifts toward cooler southerlies or warmer northerlies that would alter the narrow 13–14°C band, positioning these outcomes as the strongest market-implied probabilities while leaving room for minor forecast revisions closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 14. August?
14°C 51%
13°C 34%
15°C 12%
12°C 6%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
34%
14°C
51%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 51%
13°C 34%
15°C 12%
12°C 6%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$331 Vol.
1%
9°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
3%
12°C
$67 Vol.
6%
13°C
$162 Vol.
34%
14°C
$309 Vol.
51%
15°C
$14 Vol.
12%
16°C
$40 Vol.
3%
17°C
$7 Vol.
3%
18°C or higher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's August climate features typical winter daily highs near 13°C under the influence of its maritime setting and prevailing westerly flows. Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–14°C on August 14, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting settled conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with climatological baselines rather than significant anomalies from ENSO patterns. Recent model consensus and observed trends over the past week show no major shifts toward cooler southerlies or warmer northerlies that would alter the narrow 13–14°C band, positioning these outcomes as the strongest market-implied probabilities while leaving room for minor forecast revisions closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,670Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's August climate features typical winter daily highs near 13°C under the influence of its maritime setting and prevailing westerly flows. Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–14°C on August 14, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting settled conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with climatological baselines rather than significant anomalies from ENSO patterns. Recent model consensus and observed trends over the past week show no major shifts toward cooler southerlies or warmer northerlies that would alter the narrow 13–14°C band, positioning these outcomes as the strongest market-implied probabilities while leaving room for minor forecast revisions closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,670Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's August climate features typical winter daily highs near 13°C under the influence of its maritime setting and prevailing westerly flows. Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–14°C on August 14, supported by a ridge of high pressure promoting settled conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with climatological baselines rather than significant anomalies from ENSO patterns. Recent model consensus and observed trends over the past week show no major shifts toward cooler southerlies or warmer northerlies that would alter the narrow 13–14°C band, positioning these outcomes as the strongest market-implied probabilities while leaving room for minor forecast revisions closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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