**Trader sentiment for Miami’s August 13 high temperature centers on 92–93 °F (55.5 % implied probability) because the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance point to sunny skies under persistent high pressure, with daytime maxima expected near 90–92 °F.** Southeast Florida’s typical August climatology features average highs of 88–90 °F moderated by sea breezes and frequent afternoon convection; however, the current ridge of high pressure has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, allowing stronger solar heating and pushing recent daily maxima into the low 90s. Model consensus shows minimal steering flow and only isolated late-day showers, limiting evaporative cooling. The secondary 94–95 °F bin (22.5 %) reflects the small but realistic upside if boundary-layer mixing stays limited, while the 90–91 °F outcome (12.5 %) captures the downside risk if a sea breeze or early thunderstorm develops. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the most recent short-range model runs and observed trends over longer-term averages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 13. August?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 4%
81°F oder darunter
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F oder höher
1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 4%
81°F oder darunter
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami’s August 13 high temperature centers on 92–93 °F (55.5 % implied probability) because the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance point to sunny skies under persistent high pressure, with daytime maxima expected near 90–92 °F.** Southeast Florida’s typical August climatology features average highs of 88–90 °F moderated by sea breezes and frequent afternoon convection; however, the current ridge of high pressure has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, allowing stronger solar heating and pushing recent daily maxima into the low 90s. Model consensus shows minimal steering flow and only isolated late-day showers, limiting evaporative cooling. The secondary 94–95 °F bin (22.5 %) reflects the small but realistic upside if boundary-layer mixing stays limited, while the 90–91 °F outcome (12.5 %) captures the downside risk if a sea breeze or early thunderstorm develops. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the most recent short-range model runs and observed trends over longer-term averages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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