Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting regional models indicate persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature at 30°C with high confidence. This aligns with mid-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and southerly flow typically prevent drops below 29°C absent a strong frontal passage or typhoon-induced mixing. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, with only minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected overnight surge in cloud cover or a revised observational reading near resolution, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 12. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 12. August?
30°C 96.1%
29°C 4%
27°C 1.0%
26°C <1%
$74,622 Vol.
$74,622 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
96%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 96.1%
29°C 4%
27°C 1.0%
26°C <1%
$74,622 Vol.
$74,622 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$1,720 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,079 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,916 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10,450 Vol.
1%
28°C
$13,027 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15,609 Vol.
4%
30°C
$14,857 Vol.
96%
31°C
$6,153 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$612 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting regional models indicate persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature at 30°C with high confidence. This aligns with mid-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and southerly flow typically prevent drops below 29°C absent a strong frontal passage or typhoon-induced mixing. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, with only minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected overnight surge in cloud cover or a revised observational reading near resolution, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$74,622Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting regional models indicate persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature at 30°C with high confidence. This aligns with mid-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and southerly flow typically prevent drops below 29°C absent a strong frontal passage or typhoon-induced mixing. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, with only minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected overnight surge in cloud cover or a revised observational reading near resolution, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$74,622Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting regional models indicate persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature at 30°C with high confidence. This aligns with mid-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and southerly flow typically prevent drops below 29°C absent a strong frontal passage or typhoon-induced mixing. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, with only minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected overnight surge in cloud cover or a revised observational reading near resolution, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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