Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show moderating conditions over Wuhan, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and a weaker subtropical high limiting daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 28–30°C. Historical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values below peak seasonal norms. Model spread across runs creates the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 28–30°C, while lower odds on 31°C+ reflect limited potential for rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow before the 48-hour window closes. Updated guidance from global and regional models over the next day will likely refine these near-term outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 12. August?
29°C 29%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
27°C 8%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
23%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
27°C 8%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$838 Vol.
5%
27°C
$688 Vol.
8%
28°C
$3,453 Vol.
20%
29°C
$630 Vol.
29%
30°C
$546 Vol.
23%
31°C
$497 Vol.
8%
32°C
$709 Vol.
4%
33°C
$566 Vol.
2%
34°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show moderating conditions over Wuhan, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and a weaker subtropical high limiting daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 28–30°C. Historical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values below peak seasonal norms. Model spread across runs creates the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 28–30°C, while lower odds on 31°C+ reflect limited potential for rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow before the 48-hour window closes. Updated guidance from global and regional models over the next day will likely refine these near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$8,319Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show moderating conditions over Wuhan, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and a weaker subtropical high limiting daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 28–30°C. Historical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values below peak seasonal norms. Model spread across runs creates the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 28–30°C, while lower odds on 31°C+ reflect limited potential for rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow before the 48-hour window closes. Updated guidance from global and regional models over the next day will likely refine these near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,319Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show moderating conditions over Wuhan, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and a weaker subtropical high limiting daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 28–30°C. Historical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values below peak seasonal norms. Model spread across runs creates the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 28–30°C, while lower odds on 31°C+ reflect limited potential for rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow before the 48-hour window closes. Updated guidance from global and regional models over the next day will likely refine these near-term outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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